Pandemic Preparedness

Pandemic Preparedness

Pandemiplan.com

Tis blog is a forum to discuss and inform society and interested people about the pandemic issue. Feel free to comment! If you want to publish new posts you´ll have to get that licence. Feel free to ask for this possibility by mail to info@pandemiplan.com

Update on the H1N1 situation (still evolving)

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Sun, May 24, 2009 02:48:31

From the WHO reports, there are still reasons to be concearned about the evolvement in the H1N1 spread.

According to reports there are now 12022 humans infected in 43 countries. US alone has approx. 6500 infected reported so far and still counting for more.

Strange finding so far is that no country in Africa is affected - and even though there are a rapid increase in Japan there are strangely low numbers in China, Indonesia for instance.

Reports also say that elderly people seem to have resistance as only 1% of the infected are elderly - as far as I know this is expected as it´s awaited as a virus with pandemic potential will strike mainly against young and healthy people.

The infections still seems to be quite mild and the virus is still sensitive to antiviral treatment (neuroaminidase inhibitors).

On the other hand - the main issue (for society and companies) if this becomes a pandemic are the fact that:

- Schools and children daycare may close

- logistics for food and other supplies may be affected

- transports like busses, trains and subways may stop or delayed

- people stay home for illness and other reasons - affects productivity and profitability

- and more...

To keep wheels going companies have to plan for this and protect their business...

The most important protection is - KNOWLEDGE!

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Report on number of infected humans (H1N1)

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Tue, May 12, 2009 23:42:55

CDC - reports 3009 infected in the US to date

WHO - reports 5251 infected worldwide

ECDC - reports 210 infected in EU/EFTA countries

There are now a little more than 30 countries affected (with confirmed cases)

As the number in the US have raised dramatically during the last 7 days whith herds of infected in some states there are still reasons to be concearned.

The illnes is mild and sensitive to antivirals (Relenza and Tamiflu) -

on the other hand a pandemic would have major effects on society and economics as:

1 Approx 25% of the population will be infected (WHO calculations) focus on 15-50yr of age

2 Another 15% (totals 40%) will stay home from work/school

3 The illness will stay in country for 6-8 weeks

The best weapon against the consequences are knowledge and awareness which helps companies and vital functions withins society to maintain function and minimize losses.

The survival of the fittest!

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Infections slowing down?

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Mon, May 04, 2009 23:05:07

According to news-services in Sweden, the speed of infected people slow down around the world. But according to WHO.int official numbers there are still lots of new cases around the world.

Do anyone have a comment on this?

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First probable H1N1 case in Sweden

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Sun, May 03, 2009 20:10:54

Today, Swedish authoroties anounced that they´ve found the first probable H1N1 case in Stockholm. The case is tested positive for flu virus and it´s not any of those that normally infects as seasonal flu.

www.pandemiplan.com

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The evolvment i European cases

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Sun, May 03, 2009 11:06:19

There are to date (3 may-09) 45 confirmed cases in 9 countries within Europe. Another 3 countries have suspected cases. Total suspected cases are 14. There are also a total of 5 confirmed cases that are non-Mexico-contact-infections

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WHO: "No vaccine within 5-6 months

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Sun, May 03, 2009 11:01:58
According to WHO Q&A document there will be no vaccine available within the next 5-6 months after defining virus and decision on stopping seasonal-vaccine-production. For the moment they think the risks of such a decision is higher than the benefits. If decision is made there is a total production-capacity of vaccine is 1-2 bn doses a year.

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Situation continues to evolve on "The Mexican" (H1N1)

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Sat, May 02, 2009 16:56:00

According to WHO reports, there are now 615 cases confirmed, where of 397 is from Mexico. The symptoms are reported as mild - but common flulike (fever, coughing (dry), headache). Worrying that more and more countries are affected and that GB and Spain has 13 cases each confirmed.

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Phase 5 is now officially confirmed and...

Pandemiplan.comPosted by Mats Espander Thu, April 30, 2009 19:56:18
the development to a fullminant pandemic is rapid. 257 cases confirmed and the US have developed from 91 to 109 since yesterday. More and more states in the US and more and more countries in Europe are affected. The mortality rate is stable with only one case reported so far.

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